Focused Most Probability Estimation (TMLE) helps you clarify patterns the place different strategies fall quick
Neural networks can spot patterns, correlations, and developments with gorgeous accuracy. However in relation to answering ‘Why did this occur?’ they’re as clueless as a parrot mimicking human speech.
They’ll offer you predictions, certain — however attempt asking them for an evidence, and also you’ll be left observing a black field.
This limitation isn’t distinctive to neural networks. Correlation-based strategies like linear regression and even superior instruments like Propensity Rating Matching can not get to the core of causation-based developments in advanced information. That may be a drawback when decision-makers (learn: your managers) demand actionable enterprise insights and never geeky stats that solely make nerds comfortable.
Vulnerable to contradicting myself, right here’s a really geeky topic for you: Focused Most Probability Estimation (TMLE). The factor is, TMLE is the very best of each worlds. It allows you to mess around with numbers as a lot as your nerdy mind wishes, but it surely additionally makes your managers comfortable by producing enterprise insights.
Primarily, you get the rigor of causal inference plus the pliability of machine studying, This…
